EDGE

Energy Demand GEnerator

Energy sectoral model

The Energy Demand GEnerator is a building energy sectoral model first developed at PIK and currently at CMCC. It has a global coverage, and only for the EU it has a subnational resolution of 0.5°. It simulates the evolution of the building stock, and in particular of its energy consumption, through multiple regressions based on historical data, a machine learning module for estimating space cooling energy demand, and an optimization routine to take renovation decisions taking into consideration the local conditions of the building stock, energy expenditure, and socioeconomic conditions, behavioural choices (temperature setpoints, floorspace per capita requirements) and the changing climate (different scenarios for CDDs and HDDs).

 

Related publications:

[1] R. van Heerden et al., ‘Demand-side strategies enable rapid and deep cuts in buildings and transport emissions to 2050’, Nat Energy, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 380–394, Mar. 2025, doi: 10.1038/s41560-025-01703-1.
[2] O. Edelenbosch, D. Rovelli, A. Levesque, G. Marangoni, and M. Tavoni, ‘Long term, cross-country effects of buildings insulation policies’, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 170, p. 120887, Sep. 2021, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120887.
[3] A. Levesque, R. C. Pietzcker, L. Baumstark, S. De Stercke, A. Grübler, and G. Luderer, ‘How much energy will buildings consume in 2100? A global perspective within a scenario framework’, Energy, vol. 148, pp. 514–527, Apr. 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.01.139.