Climate Impacts & Adaptations

Climate Impacts & Adaptations

There is an urgent need to understand how agents (e.g. individuals, households, firms and countries), as well as physical and biophysical systems, react to climate change.

Our work

We use the growing availability of data to identify statistical patterns and causal relationships between a wide range of socioeconomic, climate, policy variables and indicators describing impacts and adaptation to climate change, including indicators related to humans (e.g. labour productivity, energy demand), other species (e.g. crop yields), as well as physical indicators (e.g. power generation). We rely on statistical tools to match climate data, coming from satellites or remote sensing, with survey data. We deal with multiple spatial scales including household, gridded, sub-national, and national levels.


Removing non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions to support ambitious climate transitions


Infectious Disease decision-support tools and Alert systems to build climate Resilience to emerging health Threats


Adapting to Climate change by QUantifying optimal Allocation of water resOUrces and socio-ecoNomic inTerlinkages


Economic Policy in Complex Environments


Assessing Climate TransItion OptioNs: policy vs impacts


CAScading Climate risks: towards ADaptive and resilient European Societies


ENERGY use for Adaptation


Climate change and Resilience of Agricultural System: an econometric and computational analysis


Results and Implications for Pathways and Policies for Low Emissions European Societies

Yalew, A.W.

Environmental and economic accounting for biomass energy in Ethiopia

Energy, Sustainability and Society , 12, Article number: 30 - 2022

Colelli F., Emmerling J., Marangoni G., Mistry M., De Cian E.

Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways

Nature Communications , 13, Article number: 4964 - 2022

Bakola M., Hernandez C. I., Jelastopulu E., Stuckler D.

The impact of COVID-19 lockdown on air pollution in Europe and North America: a systematic review

European Journal of Public Health , ckac118 - 2022

Bakola M., Hernandez C. I., Stuckler D.

The impact of air pollution on COVID-19 incidence, severity, and mortality: A systematic review of studies in Europe and North America

Environmental Research , Volume 215, Part 1, 114155 - 2022

Yalew, A.W.

The Ethiopian energy sector and its implications for the SDGs and modeling

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition , Volume 2, August 2022, 100018 - 2022

van der Ploeg F., Emmerling J., Groom B.

The Social Cost of Carbon with Intragenerational Inequality under Economic Uncertainty

RFF Working Papers , Working Paper 22-08 - 2022

Shayegh S., Dasgupta S.

Climate Change, Labor Availability, and the Future of Gender Inequality in South Africa

Climate and Development Journal , 21 May 2022 - 2022

Yalew, A.W.

Achievements, Gaps, and Emerging Challenges in Controlling Malaria in Ethiopia

Frontiers in Tropical Diseases , 2, 771030 - 2022

Dasgupta S., Bosello F., De Cian E., Mistry M.

Global Temperature Effects on Economic Activity and Equity: A Spatial Analysis

RFF Working Papers Series , Working Paper 22-1 - 2022

Essenfelder, A. et Al. [Bosello, F., ...Bigano, A.]

Study on adaptation modelling - Recommended approach to analysis and modelling

Publications Office of the EU , - 2021

Botzen, W. et al [Bosello, F.]

Study on adaptation modelling Comprehensive desk review : climate adaptation models and tools

Publications Office of the EU , - 2021

Yalew, A.W.

Economic contributions and synergies of biogas with the SDGs in Ethiopia

Energy Nexus , Volume 3, 15 December 2021, 100017 - 2021

García León D., Casanueva A., Standardi G., Burgstall A., Flouris A.D., Nybo L.

Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe

Nature Communications , 12, Article number: 5807 - 2021

Nikas A., Elia A., Boitier B., Koasidis K., Doukas H., Cassetti G., Anger-Kraavi A., Bui, H. Campagnolo L., De Miglio R., Delpiazzo E., Fougeyrollas, A., Gambhir, A., Gargiulo M., S. Giarola, Grant N., Hawkes A., Herbst A., Köberle A.C., Kolpakov A., Le Mouël P., McWilliams B., Mittal S., Moreno J., Neuner F., Perdana S., Peters G.P., Plötz P., Rogelj J., Sognnæs I., Van de Ven D.-J., Vielle M., Zachmann G., Zagamé P., Chiodi A.

Where is the EU headed given its current climate policy? A stakeholder-driven model inter-comparison.

Science of The Total Environment , Volume 793 - 2021

Giarola S., Mittal S., Vielle M., Perdana S., Campagnolo L., Delpiazzo E., Bui H., Anger Kraavi A., Kolpakov A., Sognnaes I., Peters G., Hawkes A., Koberle A., Grant N., Gambhir A., Nikas A., Doukas H., Moreno J., van de Ven D.-J.

Challenges in the harmonisation of global integrated assessment models: A comprehensive methodology to reduce model response heterogeneity

Science of The Total Environment , Volume 783 - 2021

Vesco P., Kovacic M., Mistry M. N., Croicu M.

Climate variability, crop and conflict: Exploring the impacts of spatial concentration in agricultural production

Journal of Peace Research , - 2021

Bezerra P., Ferreira da Silva F.T., Cruz T., Mistry M.N., Arroyo E.V., Magalar L., De Cian E., Lucena A, Schaeffer R.

Impacts of a warmer world on space cooling demand in Brazilian households

Energy and Buildings , Volume 234, 1 March 2021, 110696 - 2021

García-León D., Standardi G., Staccione A.

An integrated approach for the estimation of agricultural drought costs

Land Use Policy , Volume 100, January 2021, 104923 - 2021

Chemura A., Tawona Mudereri B., Yalew A.W., Gornott C.

Climate change and specialty coffee potential in Ethiopia

Nature , Sci Rep 11, 8097 (2021) - 2021

Schleypen J.R., Mistry M.N., Saeed F., Dasgupta S.

Sharing the burden: quantifying climate change spillovers in the European Union under the Paris Agreement

Spatial Economic Analysis , 16 April 2021 - 2021

Colelli F.P., Witkop D., De Cian E., Tavoni M.

Power systems' performance under high renewables' penetration rates: a natural experiment due to the COVID-19 demand shock

Environmental Research Letters , Volume 16, Number 6 - 2021

Gazzotti P., Emmerling J., Marangoni G., Castelletti A., van der Wijst K., Hof A., Tavoni M.

Persistent inequality in economically optimal climate policies

Nature Communications , 12, 3421 (2021) - 2021

Wing I.S., De Cian E., Mistry M.N.

Global Vulnerability of Crop Yields to Climate Change

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management , Volume 109, September 2021, 102462 - 2021

Falchetta G., Hammad A. T., Shayegh S.

Planning universal accessibility to public health care in sub-Saharan Africa

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) , 30 November 2020 - 2020

Shayegh S., Manoussi, V., Dasgupta, S

Climate change and development in South Africa: the impact of rising temperatures on economic productivity and labour availability

Climate and Development Journal , - 2020

Campagnolo L., De Cian E.

Distributional consequences of climate change impacts on energy demand across Italian households

RFF Working Papers Series , 21-04, February 2021 - 2021

Khavari, B., Korkovelos, A., Sahlberg, A., Howells M., Fuso Nerini F.

Population cluster data to assess the urban-rural split and electrification in Sub-Saharan Africa

Nature , Sci Data 8, 117 (2021) - 2021

Emmerling J., Furceri D., Libano Monteiro F., Loungani P., Ostry J.D., Pizzuto P., Tavoni M.

Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics

IMF Working Papers , No. 2021/119 - 2021

Dasgupta S., Emmerling J., Shayegh S.

Inequality and growth impacts from climate change - insights from South Africa

RFF Working Papers Series , May 2020 - 2020

McMichael C., Dasgupta S., Ayeb-Karlsson S., and Kelman I.

A review of estimating population exposure to sea-level rise and the relevance for migration

Environmental Research Letters , August 2020 - 2020

Mistry M.N.

A High Spatiotemporal Resolution Global Gridded Dataset of Historical Human Discomfort Indices

Atmosphere , 2020, 11(8), 835 - 2020

Yalew S.G., van Vliet M.T.H., Gernaat D.E.H.J., De Cian E., Dasgupta S.

Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios

Nature Energy , Volume 5, pages794–802(2020) - 2020

García-León D., Standardi G. and Staccione A.

An integrated approach for the estimation of agricultural drought costs

Land Use Policy , Volume 100, January 2021, 104923 - 2020

Schaeffer R., Bosetti V., Kriegler E., Riahi K., van Vuuren D.

Climatic change: CD-Links special issue on national low-carbon development pathways

Climatic Change , volume 162, pages 1779–1785(2020) - 2020

Berger L., Marinacci M.

Model Uncertainty in Climate Change Economics: A Review and Proposed Framework for Future Research

Environmental and Resource Economics , 77, pages475–501(2020) - 2020

Fuso Nerini F., Sovacool B., Hughes N., Cozzi L., Cosgrave E., Howells M., Tavoni M., Tomei J., Zerriffi H., Milligan B.

Connecting climate action with other Sustainable Development Goals

Nature Sustainability , Volume 2, pages 674–680 - 2019

Schinko, T., Drouet, L., Vrontisi, Z., Hof, A. F., Hinkel, J., Mochizuki, J., Bosetti. V., Fragkiadakis. P., van Vuuren. D. P. & Lincke, D.

Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: A multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts

Environmental Research Communications , Volume 2, Number 1 - 2020

Antonelli C., Coromaldi M., Dasgupta S., Emmerling J., Shayegh S.

Climate Impacts on Nutrition and Labor Supply Disentangled – an Analysis for Rural Areas of Uganda.

Environment and Development Economics , March 2020, 1–26 - 2020

Parrado, R., Bosello, F., Delpiazzo, E., Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., and S. Brown

Fiscal effects and the potential implications on economic growth of sea-level rise impacts and coastal zone protection

Climatic Change , 160, pages283–302(2020) - 2020

van Ginkel, K., Botzen, W., Haasnoot, M., Bachner, G., Steininger, K., Hinkel, J., Watkiss, P., Boere, E., Jeuken, A., Sainz de Murieta, E, Bosello, F.

Climate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant research

Environmental Research Letters , Volume 15, Number 2 - 2020

Ricke K., Drouet L., Tavoni M., Caldeira K.

Country-level social cost of carbon

Nature Climate Change , Volume 8, pages 895–900 - 2018

Dasgupta S., De Cian E.

The influence of institutions, governance, and public opinion on the environment: Synthesized findings from applied econometrics studies

Energy Research & Social Science , Volume 43, September 2018, Pages 77-95 - 2018

Dasgupta S.

Burden of climate change on malaria mortality

International Journal of Hygiene and Environmental Health , Volume 221, Issue 5, June 2018, Pages 782-791 - 2018

Campagnolo L., Eboli F., Farnia L., Carraro C.

Supporting the UN SDGs transition: methodology for sustainability assessment and current worldwide ranking.

Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal , 12 (2018-10): 1–31 - 2018

Anthoff D., Emmerling J.

Inequality and the Social Cost of Carbon

Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists , Vol. 6, No. 2: 29-59 - 2019

van Ruijven B.J., De Cian E., Wing I.S.

Amplification of future energy demand growth due to climate change

Nature Communications , Volume 10, Article number: 2762 - 2019

Adamo, S., Djalante, R., Chakrabarti, P.G.D., Renaud, F., Yalew, A.W., Stabinsky, D., Zommers, Z., and Warner, K.

Editorial Overview: Slow Onset Events related to Climate Change

Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability , 50: A1-A7 - 2021

Parrado R., Pérez Blanco C.D., Gutiérrez Martín C. and Standardi G.

Micro macro feedback links of agricultural water management: insights from a coupled iterative Positive Multi Attribute Utility Programming and Computable General Equilibrium model in a Mediterranean basin, Journal of Hydrology

Journal of Hydrology , vol. 569, pp 291 309 - 2019

Pérez Blanco C.D. and Standardi G.

Farm waters run deep: a coupled positive multi attribute utility programming and computable general equilibrium model to assess the economy wide impacts of water buyback

Agricultural Water Management , Volume 213, 1 March 2019, Pages 336-351 - 2019